With 98% of the precincts reporting, Doug Jones holds a 0.9% margin over Roy Moore, a difference of only 10,630 votes. Voters in rural white counties didn’t move much towards Jones, however metro Alabama and the Black Belt came through for Jones.
It appears the write-in vote may have been a deciding factor? Of all the Alabama senate races since 1990 the total write in share as been below 0.17% with the exception of 2014. In 2014 Jeff Sessions ran uncontested, generally leading to more write-ins. With 98% of the precincts reporting there have been 21,880 write-ins, that’s a 1.7% share, could they have been the deciding factor for Roy Moore?
Will the GOP use this as a wake-up call? With Jones winning by less than the write-in margin it leaves to question, will Roy Moore ask for a recount? I think we’re all eagerly awaiting to hear Trump’s thoughts via Twitter.
UPDATE: Trump Tweeted, “Congratulations to Doug Jones on a hard fought victory. The write-in votes played a very big factor, but a win is a win. The people of Alabama are great, and the Republicans will have another shot at this seat in a very short period of time. It never ends!”